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spring 2004

Strategic Thinking

Marco LiCalzi, Università Ca’ Foscari di Venezia

Course description
The purpose of this course is to enable students to set up and solve typical strategic problems arising in business and economics. The necessary skills are developed by working out common applications and examples of typical setups. The examples range from the Bible to Wall Street, and are often inspired by the news.The target audience includes any undergraduate student with a serious interest about strategy: this covers a lot of interests - those who want to take on the casinos, those who want to be lawyers, those who want to pursue graduate studies in economics, and those who aim for an M.B.A. and a business career.

Prerequisites
You are expected to have completed one year of college mathematics, or otherwise being able to differentiate the common functions, compute the expected value of a random variable, and solve small systems of linear equations.

Teaching method
The course is twelve weeks long, with two meetings per week. Each week we cover a different item in the list below, mixing theory and case studies as we go. The reading load is about 30 pages per week. (If necessary, additional material can be made available as a PDF document on the class website.

Examination policy
Your final grade will be based on three items: homework (20%), an intermediate written exam (35%) and a final written exam (45%).

There will be two homework sets. Each homework counts towards 10% of the final grade.
It is allowed (and warmly recommended: there is a lot to learn from your fellows) that students discuss their homework with each other. However, no more than two people may coauthor the same homework.

Written exams are in class and, of course, will be strictly individual. During a written exam, you are not allowed to bring with you any written material, with the exception of one for-side A4 paper that you can use at your best. You can also bring with you a pocket calculator.

Schedule

Day Time Topic Pages
17/02 10.50 Introduction 1-14
19/02   Introduction II 15-40
24/02   Sequential moves I 43-56
26/02   Sequential moves II 56-78
02/03   Simultaneous moves I 79-93
04/03   Simultaneous moves II 93-99, 104-123
09/03   Mixed strategies I 124-136
11/03  

Mixed strategies II

Homework I out (due back 18/03)

136-151, 159-162
16/03   Mixed moves I 178-189
18/03   Mixed moves II 189-208
23/03   Prisoner’s dilemna I 255-269
25/03   Prisoner’s dilemna II 269-284
30/03   Intermediate exam Up to p. 208
01/04   Strategic moves I 288-306
06/04   Strategic moves II 306-319
08/04   Evolutionary games I 320-334
13/04   Evolutionary games II 334-345, 352-355
15/04   Collective action I 356-369
20/04   Collective action II 369-388, 392-396
22/04   Uncertainty and information I 397-412
27/04   Uncertainty and information II 412-432
29/04  

Voting I

Homework II out (due back 06/05)

462-474
04/05   Voting II 474-493
06/05   Auctions 494-509
13/05   Final exam From p. 255 onward

Reading material
A. Dixit and S. Skeath (1999), Games of Strategy, Norton.

For alternate reading
R. Gardner (2003), Games for Business and Economics, second edition, Wiley.

Biography
Laurea in Economia Politica (Bocconi), M.S. in Operations Research and Ph.D. in Decision Sciences (Stanford). Professor at Ca’ Foscari and Bocconi. Director of the Ph.D. Program in Economics and Organization of the School of Advanced Studies in Venice. Editor of “Decisions in Economics and Finance”. Fields of interest: Decision Theory, Mathematical Economics. Current research interests: Target-based decision making. Author of Teoria dei giochi, Milano: EtasLibri, 1995, his most recent publications include: (with S. Spaeter), "Distributions for the first-order approach to principal-agent problems", Economic Theory, 21, 2003, 167-173; (with S.DellaVigna) "Learning to make risk neutral choices in a normal world", Mathematical Social Sciences 41, 2001, 19-37; "Upper and lower bounds for expected utility", Economic Theory 16, 2000, 489-502; (with R.Bordley) "Decision analysis using targets instead of utility functions", Decisions in Economics and Finance 23, 2000, 53-74; "A language for the construction of preferences under uncertainty", Revista de la Real Academia de Ciencias Exactas, Fìsicas y Naturales 93, 1999, 439-450